The May Fundamentals report produced by Legal and General suggests that the economic outlook for the UK is a negative one.
There are some positive factors said the Legal and General, such as low unemployment, the weaker pond helping exports and the fact that consumer spending is still active. However they see more negative elements than positive ones which leads them to rating the economic forecast as poor.
Key pointers include the much more difficult lending conditions facing borrowers, higher levels of debt and also a rate of inflation that is rising much too quickly. All in all the Legal and General view is that, unless changes are seen in this factors the UK economy could face real difficulties.
The Legal and General is reporting that economic indicators are flagging up a 95 percent chance of economic slowdown and subsequent recession.
According to an analyst at the company these indicators are even more pronounced than in 2001, the last time the UK economy fell upon hard times. This time the country is even more reliant on borrowing and the criteria for lending money is tighter than before. It has also been said that, even if access to credit becomes easier the startlingly fast rise in the price of fuel will keep the pressure on consumers and the economy.
The Legal and General analysts are factoring in the global slowdown that is needed, saying that countries such as the UK and USA will be hardest hit. All in all these look like trying times for the economy and consumers.
The German retail banking arm of Citibank, part of the Citigroup financial giant, saw the number of interested German parties drop to one when Commerzbank withdrew from the race.
There is interest from outside Germany still, but within the borders of the country only Deutsche Bank remains an interested party. A couple of other big European players are looking at Citibank in Germany with interest, with a move expected before the end of the month. It continues what has been a turbulent time in the German banking market as a number of organisations have changed hands recently.
With around 3.25 million customers the German Citibank is expecting offers in the region of EUR4 to EUR5 billion, especially as it runs profitably and is one of the leaders in consumer financing, generating handsome returns.
