The Legal and General is reporting that economic indicators are flagging up a 95 percent chance of economic slowdown and subsequent recession.
According to an analyst at the company these indicators are even more pronounced than in 2001, the last time the UK economy fell upon hard times. This time the country is even more reliant on borrowing and the criteria for lending money is tighter than before. It has also been said that, even if access to credit becomes easier the startlingly fast rise in the price of fuel will keep the pressure on consumers and the economy.
The Legal and General analysts are factoring in the global slowdown that is needed, saying that countries such as the UK and USA will be hardest hit. All in all these look like trying times for the economy and consumers.
Barclays Bank recently announced they were considering a sale of shares to avoid a rights issue and this has led to interest from Temasek Holdings in Singapore and QIA, the Qatar Investment Authority.
The bank is looking to raise over GBP4 billion to fund the different areas of business, such as Barclays Insurance, as well as the high street banking operation. The QIA, which holds a stake of over 15 percent in the London Stock Exchange, expressed an interest in European banks as early as January this year, so they are seen to be a very interested party already.
Temasek Holdings also have a 2 percent stake in Barclays Bank already and will be very interested to see how the numbers add up for this latest opportunity. There has been talk of valuations needing to be reassessed although nothing firm has come from this to date. Perhaps as buyers get nearer to committing Barclays will need to ensure everything is in place to make the sales process a smooth one.
A study by Natwest Bank has found that more workers than ever before are doing jobs in countries other than the UK.
The study found that more than 200,000 brits went to work in other countries, the Natwest Bank data based on 2006 figures, the most recent available. Over 40 percent of these workers were at a managerial or professional level, taking their skills and knowledge to develop businesses abroad.
When asked about the reasons for moving these overseas workers said that they were lured by a better job and better pay. The average salary for these expat workers is GBP67,000, and when combined with a lower cost of living and better living standards generally it is clear to see how attractive such a proposition can be said a Natwest Bank spokesman.