The head economist from Lloyds TSB has commented on the unchanged base rate announced today, explaining that it was the need to keep a lid on inflation that led to the decision.
Although there is still a real threat of further economic slowdown the Bank of England could not afford to cut the base rate again since the underlying rate of inflation is higher than it should be. As the Lloyds TSB pointed out, a further base rate cut could fuel more rises in inflation, completely the opposite of what is needed.
He went on to say that, as far as Lloyds TSB can see there will need to be more indications that the economy really is in a slowdown mode before base rates can be considered for reduction again.
Barclays saw a drop in profits of a third for the first half of the year, with write downs impacting seriously on the bottom line. Barclays Insurance though, a division of the bank, performed very well.
The bank still made profits of GBP2.75 billion despite the write downs and, even though the bank itself was disappointed, industry analysts felt this was better than could have been expected. Other financial institutions have suffered much more dramatic cuts than Barclays, insurance and other sectors helping support the bank.
Looking forwards the Barclays management team are expecting trading conditions to remain testing and are advising the market that it could be some time before they are back to previous levels of profitability. Barclays Insurance, having performed very well, may actually see some parts of it sold to bolster the balance sheet.
Having spoken with a sample of UK consumers Lloyds TSB can see how they are now feeling the pinch as the credit crunch and economic difficulties continue to affect lifestyles.
The view of the future is also seen rather negatively by those surveyed, with an expectation of inflation nudging the 3.8 percent mark in the next year. There were also worries about job security as they see costs spiralling for consumers and businesses. These views are part of the Lloyds TSB Consumer Barometer, where consumer views are reviewed on a monthly basis.
One of the biggest stresses facing the people of the UK are rising prices, with around nine out of ten people seeing prices up from the previous month. Roughly the same number expect to see this trend continue next month as well, further dampening their confidence in the future.
