The Legal and General is reporting that economic indicators are flagging up a 95 percent chance of economic slowdown and subsequent recession.
According to an analyst at the company these indicators are even more pronounced than in 2001, the last time the UK economy fell upon hard times. This time the country is even more reliant on borrowing and the criteria for lending money is tighter than before. It has also been said that, even if access to credit becomes easier the startlingly fast rise in the price of fuel will keep the pressure on consumers and the economy.
The Legal and General analysts are factoring in the global slowdown that is needed, saying that countries such as the UK and USA will be hardest hit. All in all these look like trying times for the economy and consumers.
An agreement has been reached on the German consumer banking arm of Citibank, with the operation being sold to Credit Mutuel of France.
The deal will see the cash reserves of Citibank around GBP3.9 billion richer and help the bank on its way to the larger target of selling around GBP200 billion worth of assets over the coming three years. The bank was badly hit by the sub prime mortgage collapse in the United States and is now working to realign the business.
As well as selling assets Citibank is also looking to shed over 16,000 jobs in the same three year period. This is again to re-structure the organisation and will go hand in hand with the selling of businesses such as their German banking operation.
The first half of 2008 has seen Lloyds TSB profits fall 70 percent compared with the same period last year, at GBP599 million.
The biggest cause of the reduced profit figures was a devaluation of the banks assets thanks to the global economic downturn. Taking this factor out of the equation Lloyds TSB has actually performed very well, especially in the retail banking sector. On this basis they actually increased their shareholder dividend, putting it up by 2 percent to 11.4 pence per share.
A Lloyds TSB spokesman, discussing the results, said that the bank was not directly associated with the American sub-prime market that collapsed so spectacularly and so has been quite well sheltered. The actual performance of the bank when their asset devaluations are removed has been an increase in pre tax profit of 11 percent, something that bodes very well for the future.
